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I am now a simple Grandpa who's life is made richer as each grandchild is born. My wife and I have raised five children and the 30 year love labor of raising them has begun to yield sweet fruit..... And then there are fruits of 30 years in ministry ... I am a satisfied old man full of the joy of the Lord.

Monday, July 21, 2008

You Can't Just Bomb Iran


Israel does have the capacity to "hurt" Iran's nuclear ambitions but it's long range air power and strike abilities are not nearly strong enough to "finish" the job or to "clean up" afterwards. They can only drop a few bombs.

You can expect that if Israel attacks (and it will because it cannot allow itself to be nuked) it will be left up to the US to clean up the mess. Here is a report from Ralph Peters of the New York Times that explains what all is involved in bombing Iran. Bottom line ? You better do it right.

* Take out Iran's air-defense and intelligence network to protect our attacking aircraft.
* Take down its national communications network to degrade its military reaction.
* Strike dozens of dispersed nuclear-related targets - some of them in hardened underground facilities, with others purposely placed in populated areas.
* Hit every anti-ship-missile installation along Iran's Persian Gulf coast and the Straits of Hormuz. The reflexive Iranian response to an attack would be to launch sea-skimmer missiles against oil tankers and Western warships. The Iranians know that oil's now the world's Achilles heel.
* Destroy Iran's naval capacity, including small craft, in the first 24 hours to prevent attacks on shipping (expect suicide attacks, too).
* Immediately take out all of Iran's long-range and intermediate-range missiles - not just those that could strike Israel, but those that could hit Saudi, gulf-state or Iraqi oil refineries, pipelines, port facilities and oil fields . . . or our installations in the region.
* Hit the military's key command centers in Tehran, as well as regional headquarters, with special attention to the Revolutionary Guards' infrastructure.
* Expect three to six weeks of intense air and naval fighting, followed by months of skirmishing and asymmetrical warfare. And Iraq will heat back up, too.


Screw up the effort, and today's oil prices will double or triple, with severe downstream shortages showing up in a matter of weeks - every oil tanker's insurance will be canceled immediately, even if the Straits of Hormuz remain open (unlikely).
And we'll be in the global doghouse.

I think that this is a conservative estimate. I think Venezuela will suspend oil along with Nigeria and other world wide disruptions. The enemy has a strangle hold on the world. You can expect suicide bombers in Iraq and Israel. You can expect kidnappings all around the world. There would be a world wide reaction of Jihadist forces. But all in all we probably won't have any other alternative. Pray.

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4 Comments:

Anonymous gainesville cts decon said...

Which is why we need to harvest our own oil. Why do we buy oil from all the countries who hate us and help terrorists???

7:55 AM, July 22, 2008  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

yea how could God make such a mistake like that and put all the oil in the hands of Muslims?

6:35 PM, July 22, 2008  
Blogger bruce said...

I am not sure I will join you in saying that God made a mistake. He makes no mistakes. All of this is in the process of time as He sees it fit to progress. Out of this will emerge the scenarios of the time just before the return of Jesus Christ. Russia, Iran, etc. are all part of this. The players are coming into position. Now we will see prophecies over 2000 years old come to pass and God reveal Himself in all of His Holiness and Glory.

9:15 PM, July 22, 2008  
Blogger quistian said...

It seems like crap being forced to hit the fan. Because something has to be done. A Perfect Storm, I suppose. By God's commission, no doubt.

4:25 AM, November 04, 2008  

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